6A · 7-team state bracket · 2026 season
The PIAA bracket (neutral sites) is run over each district/region's champion. Districts with a confirmed playoff format use their full-season simulated champion odds (so state odds carry district uncertainty); others use the top-Elo team as a point estimate. Updates as the season is played.
| # | Contender | From | Record | Elo | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bishop McDevitt | D3 | 0-0 | 1875 | 34.6% |
| 2 | La Salle College | D12 | 0-0 | 1867 | 24.2% |
| 3 | Central Catholic | D7 | 0-0 | 1866 | 21.8% |
| 4 | Parkland | D11 | 0-0 | 1777 | 9.4% |
| 5 | North Penn | D1 | 0-0 | 1751 | 2.6% |
| 6 | State College Area | D6 | 0-0 | 1714 | 2.4% |
| 7 | Downingtown West | D1 | 0-0 | 1740 | 1.2% |
| 8 | Coatesville Area | D1 | 0-0 | 1681 | 0.9% |
| 9 | Pennridge | D1 | 0-0 | 1667 | 0.6% |
| 10 | Downingtown East | D1 | 0-0 | 1652 | 0.4% |
| 11 | Plymouth Whitemarsh | D1 | 0-0 | 1642 | 0.4% |
| 12 | Council Rock South | D1 | 0-0 | 1628 | 0.3% |
| 13 | Ridley | D1 | 0-0 | 1610 | 0.2% |
| 14 | Souderton Area | D1 | 0-0 | 1624 | 0.2% |
| 15 | Spring-Ford | D1 | 0-0 | 1602 | 0.2% |
| 16 | Neshaminy | D1 | 0-0 | 1607 | 0.2% |
| 17 | Central Bucks West | D1 | 0-0 | 1632 | 0.2% |
| 18 | Wilkes-Barre Area | D2 | 0-0 | 1534 | 0.1% |
| 19 | Owen J Roberts | D1 | 0-0 | 1565 | 0.1% |
| 20 | Perkiomen Valley | D1 | 0-0 | 1574 | 0.1% |
Full-season Monte Carlo (20,000sims): replays the schedule for seed uncertainty, then runs each district's exact bracket (higher seed hosts). Confirmed formats only.
| Team | Seed | Berth | Final | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Penn | 4.4 | 96% | 31% | 19.1% |
| Coatesville Area | 6.1 | 89% | 20% | 11.5% |
| Downingtown West | 7.0 | 85% | 18% | 9.6% |
| Pennridge | 6.6 | 87% | 17% | 9.2% |
Each district/region's playoff simulated as a seeded bracket of its top teams (field size from the PIAA bid allocation, 16 total; higher seed hosts). The winner advances to the state bracket above. Approximate — exact district formats vary.
| Council Rock South |
| 6.6 |
| 88% |
| 14% |
| 6.5% |
| Plymouth Whitemarsh | 7.0 | 85% | 13% | 6.3% |
| Downingtown East | 8.2 | 74% | 11% | 5.9% |
| Ridley | 7.5 | 86% | 11% | 5.1% |
| Spring-Ford | 8.2 | 73% | 9% | 4.5% |
| Souderton Area | 8.3 | 76% | 9% | 4.0% |
| Neshaminy | 8.6 | 75% | 8% | 3.8% |
| Central Bucks West | 9.3 | 64% | 6% | 3.0% |
| Owen J Roberts | 9.0 | 64% | 6% | 2.4% |
| Perkiomen Valley | 10.0 | 50% | 4% | 1.8% |
| Haverford | 10.0 | 59% | 3% | 1.3% |
| Bensalem | 9.5 | 62% | 3% | 1.2% |
| Central Bucks South | 10.5 | 47% | 3% | 1.1% |
| Central Bucks East | 10.4 | 48% | 3% | 1.1% |
| Avon Grove | 10.9 | 38% | 2% | 0.8% |
| Boyertown Area | 10.3 | 42% | 2% | 0.5% |
| Upper Darby | 11.4 | 34% | 1% | 0.4% |
| Quakertown Community | 11.1 | 35% | 1% | 0.4% |
| Norristown Area | 11.3 | 28% | 0% | 0.1% |
| Pennsbury | 12.2 | 18% | 0% | 0.1% |
| Abington | 12.3 | 14% | 0% | 0.1% |
| William Tennent | 11.6 | 26% | 0% | 0.1% |
| Conestoga | 12.7 | 12% | 0% | 0.0% |
| Council Rock North | 12.2 | 12% | 0% | 0.0% |
| Harry S Truman | 12.0 | 18% | 0% | 0.0% |
| Penn Wood | 11.0 | 16% | 0% | 0.0% |
